Tech Bull Stands Up

Traders,

Walked the dog with a real short leash
Turned around saw the dog walk me
— Operation Ivy “Caution”

Market Bias:

BUYERS’ CAUTION

In this week’s edition you will find:

  • Where We Are
  • What Was Important About Last Week
  • What We Are Watching For This Week
  • A Word On Discipline

CANSLIM SETUPS

Where We Are:

Taking a look at the broader market:

A strong Technology sector attempts to pull the broader market higher.

But as we head into the market’s historically weakest month most sectors remain mired in bearish conditions.

A Follow Through Day on the Nasdaq suggests institutions are stepping up to support these price levels.

Strength from RIMM, INTC, BSCI and SYNA are suggestive of this.

We’re willing to buy into the Bull, but with a Yellow Flag of caution we’re not going to risk a whole lot.

If the Bull does pick up traction here we suspect it will be Tech names that continue to shine.

Should evidence of the Bear return via high volume selling and further deterioration of the all important Financial and Retail sectors, we’ll be quick to protect ourselves and stalk short opportunities.

Technically speaking:

The Dow Industrial Average

($INDU), -0.2%, advances to just under its 50-day moving average.

The S&P 500

($SPX), -0.4%, matches last week’s high which is just under its 50-day moving average.

Nasdaq

($COMPQ), 0.8%, advances to close on its 50-day moving average.

Russell 2000

($RUT), -0.8%, continues to consolidate under its major moving averages.

Volume indications show a bullish Follow Through Day for the Nasdaq, but a bearish environment dominates the past few weeks on the major indexes.

Key chart action for the week:

Charts courtesy of Stockcharts.com

The U.S. Dolar Index ($DXC) consolidates under its 50-day moving average which is trending below its 200-day average.

The Gold & Silver Miners Index ($XAU) advances to close between amidst its sideways trending moving agerages.

The Consumer Index ($CMR) consolidates on its 200-day moving average which is just beneath iyts 50-dya average.

The Cyclical Index ($CYC) consolidates between its major moving averages.

The Technology Index ($DJUSTC) rallies to close above its 50-day moving average.

The Semiconductor ($SOX) closes between its major moving average.

The Software Index ($GSO) also closes between its major moving averages.

Telecom Index ($XTC) closes just under its 50-day average.

The Banking Index ($BKX) posts a loss as it trades below its major moving averages.

The Broker Dealer Index ($XBD) consolidates below its major moving averages.

The Retail Index ($RLX) rallies to close on its 50-day average, which is trending below its 200-day average.

The Healthcare Index ($HCX) consolidates below its major moving averages.

Biotechnology Index ($BKX) consolidates just under its major moving averages.

Pharmaceutical Index ($DRG) consolidates below its major moving averages.

The REIT Index ($DJR) consolidates just under its 50-day average, which is trending below its 200-day average.

The Transportation Index ($TRAN) consolidates below its major moving averages.

The Airline Index ($XAL) consolidates below its 50-day average, which is trending below its 200-day average.

The Defense Index ($DFX) rallies to close above its 500-day average.

The Energy Index ($IXE) closes just under its 50-day average.

What Was Important About Last Week

STOCKS:

  • Dell, Inc. (DELL) reported Q2 (Jul) earnings of $0.32 per share, $0.02 better than the consensus of $0.30. Revenues rose 1.2% year over year to $14.8 billion vs. the $14.62 billion consensus.
  • Wind River Systems, Inc. (WIND) reported Q2 (Jul) earnings of $0.12 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.08 better than the consensus of $0.04. Revenues rose 14.8% year over year to $84.6 million vs. the $78.9 million consensus.
  • Chico’s FAS, Inc. (CHS) reported Q2 (Jul) earnings of $0.22 per share, $0.04 worse than the consensus of $0.26. Revenues rose 8.1% year over year to $436 million vs. the $443.2 million consensus estimate.
  • Shanda Interactive Ent. Ltd. (SNDA) reported Q2 (Jun) earnings of $0.42 per share, excluding non-recurring items. The results were $0.06 better than the Reuters consensus of $0.36.

ECONOMY:

What We’re Looking For This Week

Key earnings releases:

  • MONDAY: Holiday
  • TUESDAY: Guess (GES)
  • WEDNESDAY: J. Crew Group, Inc. (JCG)
  • THURSDAY: Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc. (HOV)
  • FRIDAY: none

On the economic front we have potential market movers with:

The Following Sections Are On Our Home Site:

This Week’s Word On Discipline:

“ I believed in studying just because I knew education was a privilege. It was the discipline of study, to get into the habit of doing something that you don’t want to do. ” – Wynton Marsalis

CANSLIM SETUPS

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